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ES dealer levels & regime call — July 2, 2026

The morning call was expansion and the session realized expansion — graded HIT against realized RTH volatility versus the 20-day median. ES ran a 112.5-point range and closed lower, touching 4 of 4 published dealer levels.

EXPANSIONMorning call
EXPANSIONRealized
HITResult
NEUTRAL GAMMADealer gamma
+0.39BNet GEX
112.5 ptsRTH range
7,559 → 7,522.5Open → Close
7472751575587602Call WallPut WallGamma FlipMax Pain09:3011:0712:4414:2115:58

The morning dealer levels, graded

Published with the morning roadmap before the open; "touched" means the session traded at the level.

LevelPriceTypeSession
Call Wall7,572.02supply / call walltouched
Put Wall7,552.02demand / put walltouched
Gamma Flip7,537.14gamma fliptouched
Max Pain7,557.02max pain / settlementtouched

Grading rule: realized RTH volatility vs. the 20-day median — expansion if it exceeds, compression otherwise. Same rule every day, committed in advance (methodology). The running record is on the scorecard — this page graded HIT.

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Research and decision support, not execution advice or a trade recommendation. Futures and options involve substantial risk. Historical data shown for research purposes.