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ES dealer levels & regime call — June 16, 2026

The morning call was compression and the session realized compression — graded HIT against realized RTH volatility versus the 20-day median. ES ran a 50.75-point range and closed lower, touching 3 of 4 published dealer levels.

COMPRESSIONMorning call
COMPRESSIONRealized
HITResult
LONG GAMMADealer gamma
+5.33BNet GEX
50.75 ptsRTH range
7,562.5 → 7,518.5Open → Close
7507752975527574Call WallPut WallGamma FlipMax Pain09:3011:0712:4414:2115:58

The morning dealer levels, graded

Published with the morning roadmap before the open; "touched" means the session traded at the level.

LevelPriceTypeSession
Call Wall7,565.75supply / call walltouched
Put Wall7,555.75demand / put walltouched
Gamma Flip7,511.39gamma flipuntouched
Max Pain7,560.75max pain / settlementtouched

Grading rule: realized RTH volatility vs. the 20-day median — expansion if it exceeds, compression otherwise. Same rule every day, committed in advance (methodology). The running record is on the scorecard — this page graded HIT.

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Research and decision support, not execution advice or a trade recommendation. Futures and options involve substantial risk. Historical data shown for research purposes.